Seth J. Frantzman – author – analyst

'If everyone is thinking alike, then somebody isn't thinking'

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Tag Archives: Seth Frantzman

Israel’s assessment of operation ‘Black Belt’, the strike of Al-Ata and battle with Palestinian Islamic Jihad Nov 12-13, 2019

November 14, 2019by Seth Frantzman Leave a comment

Between Tuesday morning, November 12, and Thursday morning, November 14, Israel fought a short conflict with Palestinian Islamic Jihad. Its context is more than a year of increasing tensions with […]

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Syria withdrawal, Baghdadi and a momentous October: Seth J. Frantzman looks at the Middle East

November 4, 2019by Seth Frantzman Leave a comment

The month of October were momentous for the Middle East, with the US withdrawal from Syria, Turkey’s invasion and protests in Iraq. Rising Israel-Iran tensions are also on the map. […]

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Who ordered the shooting of protesters in Iraq: A preliminary look at the data

October 5, 2019by Seth Frantzman Leave a comment

  Why did Iraqi forces shoot protesters? A look at the background and details from October 1 to 5 A version of this article appeared at The Jerusalem Post, this one […]

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A statement about Eager Lion, Central Command’s largest and most complex exercise, in Jordan

October 3, 2019by Seth Frantzman Leave a comment

I received this in September and forgot to post it, posting it now just for future reference. Lieutenant Colonel James Dunphy, lead CENTCOM Eager Lion planner: “Eager Lion, U.S. Central […]

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China’s National Day military parade by the numbers

October 1, 2019by Seth Frantzman Leave a comment

The 70th anniversary China National Day parade included some impressive numbers of soldiers and new technology on displace. According to reports President Xi Jinping inspected more than 15,000 troops and “more than […]

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Seth Frantzman speaks to Al-Jazeera about Iran-Israel tensions

August 27, 2019by Seth Frantzman Leave a comment

On August 26 I went on al-Jazeera’s Inside Story to discuss the Iran-Israel tensions. In the segment the participants discussed the tensions from different perspectives. In the opening bit they […]

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15 highlights from Patrick Shanahan’s six months as acting US SecDef

June 18, 2019by Seth Frantzman Leave a comment

Patrick Shanahan served as acting US Secretary of Defense from January 1, 2019. On June 18 US President Donald Trump announced he would not continue seeking confirmation. Shanahan had served […]

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How did Iran plan tanker attack? Links and sources show Iranian media may have given us hints

June 14, 2019by Seth Frantzman Leave a comment

Iranian media falsely reported that the country rescued all the crew of the tankers, that one sank and even showed fake video. Why? By SETH J. FRANTZMAN Just after six […]

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Are Saudi Arabia and Iran in an ‘arms race’ or is the contest more complex: Notes and sources

June 8, 2019by Seth Frantzman 1 Comment

By SETH J. FRANTZMAN A version of this article appeared in ‘The Jerusalem Post,’ this one has links and charts. In May 2017 US President Donald Trump and Saudi Arabia inked […]

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Surprises and traditions on EU’s election night: A country by country breakdown

May 27, 2019by Seth Frantzman Leave a comment

By SETH J. FRANTZMAN A shorter version appeared at The Jerusalem Post With the European elections results coming in overnight there are some surprises, but many predictable outcomes. The elections have […]

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